Hunt Vs Richardson 14 games each what's changed

[Brogue]

I've broken down the numbers to see how we have progressed since the change.

Overall performance

The Play-off Benchmark: 1.67 PPG
Auto promotion Benchmark: 2.04 PPG

Based on the last 3 seasons, that's the average pace required in League One.

Our Managers:

LR: 1.78 (Above the bar ✅)
NH: 1.07 (Below the bar ❌)



The Tale of Two Tenures

Same number of games (14), but worlds apart in results.

Leam Richardson:

7 Wins (50% win rate)

Only 3 losses

Noel Hunt:

3 Wins (21% win rate)

5 losses


Let's see a bit deeper where things have strengthened

Goals For: Up from 15 to 24 (+60% increase)
Goals Against: Down from 19 to 16

Goal Difference: Swung from -4 to +8

The trajectory is clear.


How did Richardson fix the attack?

One word: Quality

Average xG per Shot: LR: 0.11 NH: 0.07 (Elite benchmark: 0.15+)

We’re getting into the box and taking higher-value shots rather than hopeful long-range efforts. More threat = more goals.



Match Control Analysis

Slight change in Possession:

LR: 51%
NH: 48%

With a slight increase in Possession we have seen a slight drop in the Avg Build up under LR:

28.57% (-22) in Final Third Passes



Efficiency over volume.

The data shows a massive tactical shift under LR.

Final Third Passes: Dropped from 77.6 to 55.6 : Touches per Final Third Pass: Rose from 0.26 to 0.36

We are now 40% more efficient at converting territory into penalty area touches.

Defensive Performance

With Conceding less Goals it has come from facing less shots.

Coming from a slight more Possession, Defensive compactness & Threat going forward, we have really become tougher to score against.

[Sutekh]

Good stuff! Anything tangible on the quality of opposition over each batch of 14 games?

[Hendo]

Are you also behind the RFC_Analysis account on X, formally known as Twitter? Or are you just claiming you did a bunch of work when you just took it from there?

I've broken down the numbers to see how we have progressed since the change.

https://x.com/RFC_Analysis/status/2018804977213587577

[Snowflake Royal]

I've broken down the numbers to see how we have progressed since the change.

Overall performance

The Play-off Benchmark: 1.67 PPG
Auto promotion Benchmark: 2.04 PPG

Based on the last 3 seasons, that's the average pace required in League One.

Our Managers:

LR: 1.78 (Above the bar ✅)
NH: 1.07 (Below the bar ❌)



The Tale of Two Tenures

Same number of games (14), but worlds apart in results.

Leam Richardson:

7 Wins (50% win rate)

Only 3 losses

Noel Hunt:

3 Wins (21% win rate)

5 losses


Let's see a bit deeper where things have strengthened

Goals For: Up from 15 to 24 (+60% increase)
Goals Against: Down from 19 to 16

Goal Difference: Swung from -4 to +8

The trajectory is clear.


How did Richardson fix the attack?

One word: Quality

Average xG per Shot: LR: 0.11 NH: 0.07 (Elite benchmark: 0.15+)

We’re getting into the box and taking higher-value shots rather than hopeful long-range efforts. More threat = more goals.



Match Control Analysis

Slight change in Possession:

LR: 51%
NH: 48%

With a slight increase in Possession we have seen a slight drop in the Avg Build up under LR:

28.57% (-22) in Final Third Passes



Efficiency over volume.

The data shows a massive tactical shift under LR.

Final Third Passes: Dropped from 77.6 to 55.6 : Touches per Final Third Pass: Rose from 0.26 to 0.36

We are now 40% more efficient at converting territory into penalty area touches.

Defensive Performance

With Conceding less Goals it has come from facing less shots.

Coming from a slight more Possession, Defensive compactness & Threat going forward, we have really become tougher to score against.

Final third passes? Is that passes made within the final third, or passes made into the final third?

Because I would only expect Hunt's to be higher if the latter, with all the long balls forward counted.

[stealthpapes]

Figure 5 is captioned wrong.
Figure 6 ain't great either.

I know you're going to miss the point when you reply, but I just can't help myself.

[stealthpapes]

It's better than a graph that had us starting on 3 points on the opening day of the season though ...

[Royalwaster]

It generally shows that we've improved since LR was appointed - but it is worth noting that NH was handicapped by lack of signings at the start of the season. Still think that overall it was the right decision to change managers. Do you agree so too, as I know at the start you said that it was a mistake to appoint LR?

[The Cap]

It generally shows that we've improved since LR was appointed - but it is worth noting that NH was handicapped by lack of signings at the start of the season. Still think that overall it was the right decision to change managers. Do you agree so too, as I know at the start you said that it was a mistake to appoint LR?

Really feel for Noel. I know that's life, that's footie and all that malarkey. And even though Leam's stats have improved proceedings, let's not forget that Noel was here during what must surely be one of our club's darkest hours. I wish the bloke all the luck in the world and hope he ends up at a club that offers a lot more stability and security. He deserves it plus he will be a lot wiser for his experiences at RFC.

[Esteban]

It generally shows that we've improved since LR was appointed - but it is worth noting that NH was handicapped by lack of signings at the start of the season. Still think that overall it was the right decision to change managers. Do you agree so too, as I know at the start you said that it was a mistake to appoint LR?

To be fair to LR, most of those games were with the same squad Noel had and he was getting results.

I love Noel Hunt, he's always welcome back in RG2, but he was a naive, green manager. It just wasn't the right job for him in the summer, unfortunately.

[Snowflake Royal]

It generally shows that we've improved since LR was appointed - but it is worth noting that NH was handicapped by lack of signings at the start of the season. Still think that overall it was the right decision to change managers. Do you agree so too, as I know at the start you said that it was a mistake to appoint LR?

To be fair to LR, most of those games were with the same squad Noel had and he was getting results.

I love Noel Hunt, he's always welcome back in RG2, but he was a naive, green manager. It just wasn't the right job for him in the summer, unfortunately.

I'd be interested to see a comparison of who had the most combined appearances from O'Connor, DWilliams, Marriott, Wing, Savage and Pereira - our best players, from their 14... I bet it's Richardson, by a not insignificant margin.

Worth pointing out Hunt was bringing in Randell and he was a step up in quality that Richardson has benefited from.

[MR. CYNICAL]

I've broken down the numbers to see how we have progressed since the change.

Overall performance

The Play-off Benchmark: 1.67 PPG
Auto promotion Benchmark: 2.04 PPG

Based on the last 3 seasons, that's the average pace required in League One.

Our Managers:

LR: 1.78 (Above the bar ✅)
NH: 1.07 (Below the bar ❌)



The Tale of Two Tenures

Same number of games (14), but worlds apart in results.

Leam Richardson:

7 Wins (50% win rate)

Only 3 losses

Noel Hunt:

3 Wins (21% win rate)

5 losses


Let's see a bit deeper where things have strengthened

Goals For: Up from 15 to 24 (+60% increase)
Goals Against: Down from 19 to 16

Goal Difference: Swung from -4 to +8

The trajectory is clear.


How did Richardson fix the attack?

One word: Quality

Average xG per Shot: LR: 0.11 NH: 0.07 (Elite benchmark: 0.15+)

We’re getting into the box and taking higher-value shots rather than hopeful long-range efforts. More threat = more goals.



Match Control Analysis

Slight change in Possession:

LR: 51%
NH: 48%

With a slight increase in Possession we have seen a slight drop in the Avg Build up under LR:

28.57% (-22) in Final Third Passes



Efficiency over volume.

The data shows a massive tactical shift under LR.

Final Third Passes: Dropped from 77.6 to 55.6 : Touches per Final Third Pass: Rose from 0.26 to 0.36

We are now 40% more efficient at converting territory into penalty area touches.

Defensive Performance

With Conceding less Goals it has come from facing less shots.

Coming from a slight more Possession, Defensive compactness & Threat going forward, we have really become tougher to score against.

Not much on today then?

[SouthDownsRoyal]

Are you also behind the RFC_Analysis account on X, formally known as Twitter? Or are you just claiming you did a bunch of work when you just took it from there?

I've broken down the numbers to see how we have progressed since the change.

https://x.com/RFC_Analysis/status/2018804977213587577